NFL Week 13 2011: Seattle Seahawks v Philadelphia Eagles

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Wed, 2011-11-30 05:30 -- TheFootballLines

NFL week 13 gets underway with the Seattle Seahawks playing host to the Philadelphia Eagles on Thursday night. The shorter turn around for both teams means they can both put their week 12 home losses behind them, and focus on this clash. The Latest NFL Point Spread Lines see the Seahawks as +3 point home underdogs which is where the spread opened. In over under betting the line is at O/U 43 which is in a point from the opening of 44, meanwhile in NFL Odds markets the Seahawks who opened at +133 (2.33) have moved out to their current odds of +149 (2.49) and the Eagles who opened at -147 (1.68) are currently offered at around -165 (1.61).

With both teams playoff chances looking unlikely the loser will find themselves virtually eliminated from post season play. The Seahawks home loss to the Redskins last week came about after they let a 17-7 lead slip in the 4th quarter to eventually go down (17-23). The Eagles meanwhile were being outplayed by the Patriots in a game they lost (20-38). Injury wise, Tarvaris Jackson looks likely to be a starter for this game as he battles on with his pectoral injury, Sidney Rice has been ruled out (concussion) and Vince Young will make another start as Michael Vick sits out with his rib injury.

Looking at Seattle and Philadelphia's points differentials we see that the Seahawks have averaged 16.82 points per game and conceded an average of 21.09 for a (-4.27) differential, while the Eagles are averaging 23.36 points on offense and allowing an average of 22.82 for a differential of (+.54). If we look at just the relevant home and away differentials we see that the Seahawks at home are (-4.4) and Philadelphia on the road are (+4.2).

Seattle are 4-7 straight up this season, 6-4-1 against the closing point spread, 6-5 in over under wagering and show a positive +$275 return against the NFL money line odds (for $100 bet each week). By contrast the Eagles who are also 4-7 SU, have gone 4-7 ATS, 5-5-1 in over under results and despite winning the same amount of games as the Seahawks their money line results show -$295.

Yards per play stats for both teams favor the Eagles, who have an average of 6.3 (4th in league) yards per play on offense and 5.7 (15th) on defense, which gives them a differential of (+.60). Seattle are ranked (29th) in offensive yards per play with 4.7 and (14th) in defense with 5.1 giving them a negative differential of (-.40).

The verdict -'s numbers show value on Seattle and we have taken them on the money line at +244 (3.44) and against the spread at +3. The over under line agrees with our number so there will be no play there.