NFL Week 12 2011: Detroit Lions v Green Bay Packers

TheFootballLines's picture
Tue, 2011-11-22 01:45 -- TheFootballLines

NFL week 12 kicks off on Thursday, with 3 Thanksgiving Day games. The first of which sees the Detroit Lions hosting the Green Bay Packers. The undefeated Packers opened as -7 point spread favorites and have moved in a point since the opening their current spread of -6. The NFL Week 12 Over Under lines currently has the total for this game at o/u 55.5 which is where it opened. While the point spread line has moved a little towards the Lions the Money Line Odds have moved slightly the other direction after opening with the Lions at +222 (3.22) and the Packers -250 (1.4), they are currently trading around DET +235 (3.35) & GB -265 (1.38).

With the short turn around from week 11 both teams are coming off home wins, with the Lions beating the Panthers (49-35) and the Packers getting up against the Buccaneers (35-26). At home this season the Detroit Lions are 3-2 straight up, 3-2 against the closing point spread and have a point’s differential of +11.40. The Packers road trips have seen them go 5-0 SU, 3-2 ATS with a point differential of +8.20.

Detroit have won 7 games and lost 3 overall this season which gives them a +$152 profit against the closing money line odds ($100 bet each week). Against the closing point spread they are currently 6-3-1 and in over under betting they are 7-3. The lions have been averaging 30.10 (3rd) points per game on offense and allowing an average of 21.9, giving them an average point’s differential of +8.20. The Lions wins have come against TB (27-20), KC (48-3), MIN (26-23), DAL (34-30), CHI (24-13), DEN (45-10) & CAR (49-35). Meanwhile their losses have been against SF (19-25), ATL (16-23) & CHI (13-37).

Of course we all know that the Green Bay Packers are 10-0 and are ranked 1st in the league for average points per game with 35.5. They have been conceding an average of 21.2 ppg giving them a differential of +14.30. In NFL betting results the Packers are 7-3 against the spread, 7-3 in over under results and show a profit of +$267 against the closing money line odds.

The quarterback stats look like this, Aaron Rodgers is averaging 318.8 yards per game with a 72.9% completion rate. He has thrown 28 touchdowns and only 3 intercepts. Mathew Stafford on the other hand has averaged 278.7 yards per game, has a 59.7% completion rate and thrown 20 touchdowns and 8 interceptions.

The verdict -'s show some value on the Lions and we have taken them on the moneyline, against the point spread at +6 and also have a play on the under 55.5.

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