NFL Week 11 2011: Baltimore Ravens v Cincinnati Bengals

TheFootballLines's picture
Wed, 2011-11-16 22:29 -- TheFootballLines

The Cincinnati Bengals visit the Baltimore Ravens in NFL week 11 action, in what will be their 2nd big divisional game in as many weeks having gone down at home to the Steelers last week. The opening lines for this game saw the Ravens as (-9) home favorites with the over under total at (41.5). Early line movements have taken place with the Latest NFL Lines seeing the Ravens in 2 points to (-7) and the total moving down a point to o/u 40.5. In NFL Odds betting both teams have stayed fairly firm with the latest odds being Baltimore -300 (1.33) & Bengals +260 (3.60).

The Seahawks managed to keep Baltimore to 17 points last week causing the upset (22-17) and no doubt the Bengals defense will have same in mind. The last 4 meetings between these two teams has seen the Bengals go 3-1 straight up, cover the spread 4-0 and 4-0 in over under betting. Of the last ten meetings the Bengals are 6-4 SU, 7-3 ATS and 7-3 O/U.

Season to date the Ravens are 6-3 straight up, 5-4 against the closing point spread, 6-3 over under and +$71 in odds betting ($100 bet each week). Their overall points differential is (+8.11) while their home differential is +15.75. The Ravens are yet to lose at home with wins over the Steelers (35-7), Jets (34-17), Texans (29-14) and Cardinals (30-27).

Cincinnati are also sporting a 6-3 straight up record, a healthy 7-2 spread record, 7-2 over under and +$430 against the closing odds. They have a (+5.33) overall points differential and (+9.4) on the road. Road trips have not fazed the Bengals so far this season as their 4-1 record shows, with wins over the Browns (27-17), Jaguars (30-20), Seahawks (34-12) and Titans (24-17) while their one road loss came against the Broncos (22-24) in week 2.

In yards per play stats the Ravens are averaging 5.1 ypp on offense and allowing a league best 4.5 ypp on defense for a differential of +.60. Cincinnati meanwhile are averaging 5 ypp on offense and 4.8 on defense for a +.20 differential.'s thoughts on this game - Well history would suggest that this should be a tight affair and it certainly holds a great deal of importance for both teams. From a betting perspective our handicapping numbers agree with the sportsbooks and we can't find any value in this game so we will be leaving it alone.