NFL Week 11 2011: Denver Broncos v New York Jets

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Tue, 2011-11-15 22:41 -- TheFootballLines

Thursday night football in NFL week 11 sees the Denver Broncos at home up against the New York Jets. The Latest NFL Lines has the Broncos as +6 point spread underdogs, having opened at +5. The over under line opened at o/u42.5 and has moved down 2 points to currently sit at o/u 40.5. In the money line odds market the Broncos opened at +197 (2.97) and have moved out to +244 (3.44) while the Jets are currently at -275 (1.36) after opening at -220 (1.45).

No doubt much of the movement in the NFL lines is due to the injury concern over Denver's running back Willis McGahee who left the game against the Chiefs with a hamstring problem. As reported by the Denver Post McGahee was not active in drills at Tuesdays practice but did participate in stretching and warm-ups.

The Denver Broncos are 4-5 straight up this season, they are 4-5 against the closing point spread, 6-3 in over under betting and show a +$113 profit in NFL Moneyline Odds Results (for $100 bets each week). The Broncos current points differential stands at (-5.11) and their yards per play differential is (-.40). By comparison the Jets, who are coming off a 21 point loss to the Patriots are 5-4 straight up, 4-5 against the spread, 6-3 in over under results and show a loss of -$88 in money line betting. The Jets average points differential is (+1.67) and their yards per play differential is (-.20).

The Broncos 4 wins have been against the Bengals (24-22), Dolphins (18-15), Raiders (38-24) and Chiefs (17-10). They have fallen short against the Titans (14-17), Packers (23-39), Chargers (24-29) and Lions (10-45). The Jets 4 losses have come against the Raiders (24-34), Ravens (17-34) and twice to the Patriots (21-30) & (16-37). Their wins have been against the Cowboys (27-24), Jaguars (32-3), Dolphins (24-6), Chargers (27-21) and Bills (27-11).

The verdict - Well the concern over Willis McGahee is made all the more important with Knowshon Moreno ruled out for the remainder of the season. Here at we certainly do pay attention to key player injuries however we like the numbers on offer and have taken the Broncos at the current moneyline, against the spread at +6 and also have taken over 40 in totals betting.