NFL Week 10 2011: Atlanta Falcons v New Orleans Saints

TheFootballLines's picture
Sat, 2011-11-12 05:35 -- TheFootballLines

The Atlanta Falcons opened as +1 point spread underdogs for their NFL week 10 game against the New Orleans Saints. This point spread has flipped around to currently see the Falcons at -1 with most of the Leading Online Sportsbooks. The current over under total is o/u 49.5 which is down from the opening 51.5. In NFL odds betting the Falcons are presently at around -107 (1.93) while the Saints are -103 (1.97).

Season to date the Atlanta Falcons are 5-3 straight up, 2-1 at home, 4-4 against the closing point spread, 3-5 in over under betting (with their last 4 staying under the total) and they are +$145 in odds betting (each week risking $100). The New Orleans Saints on the other hand are 6-3 straight up, 2-3 on the road, 5-4 ATS, 5-4 in over under results and -$102 against the closing odds prices.

Comparing stats we see that the Saints have a +9.11 points differential compared to the Falcons +2.38, the Falcons yards per play differential is -.20 while the Saints is a healthy +.60, Atlanta are ranked (14th) in total yards per game, (18th) in passing yards and (13th) in rushing yards. The Saints are (1st) in total yards, (2nd) in passing and (9th) in rushing. Also worth noting is New Orleans average points per game of 31.9 which is ranked (2nd) in the league behind the Packers.

How has each team made their way to week 10? Well the Falcons have had wins over the Eagles (35-31), Seahawks (30-28), Panthers (31-17), Lions (23-16) and Colts (31-7). Their losses have been against the Bears (12-30), the Buccaneers (13-16) and Packers (14-25). The Saints have played all nine weeks thus far and will have the bye next week. They have beaten the Bears (30-13), Texans (40-33), Jaguars (23-10), Panthers (30-27), Colts (62-7) and Buccaneers (27-16). Their losses have come against the Buccaneers in Tampa Bay (20-26), Packers (34-40) in the season opener and the Rams (21-31).

The Verdict - here at we have taken the Falcons on the money line and have a play on under 51 which was placed earlier in the week. No play on the spread here.