NFL Week 10 2011: Dallas Cowboys v Buffalo Bills

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Sat, 2011-11-12 03:35 -- TheFootballLines

The (4-4) Dallas Cowboys host the (5-3) Buffalo Bills in NFL week 10. The opening point spread was set at Dallas -6 and an over under total which opened at o/u 47.5. The point spread has moved in half a point since the opening, with the Latest NFL Lines being offered by the majority of sportsbooks being Dallas -5.5. The total has moved out slightly to its current o/u 48. Those current lines are suggesting a score line of approximately Dallas 26.75 to the Bills 21.25.

Season to date the Cowboys have averaged 22.38 points per game on offense and allowed 21.88 on defense for a negative point's differential of -.50. The Bills have been averaging 27.75 points per game and allowing 21.75 for a differential of +6.The Cowboys 4 wins have come against the 49ers (27-24), Redskins (18-16), Rams (34-7) and Seahawks (23-13) while their 4 losses have been against the Jets (24-27), Lions (30-34), Patriots (16-20) and Eagles (7-34).

Buffalo will be looking to bounce back following their worst result of the season last week, where they went down to the Jets (11-27). Their other two losses for this season were much closer affairs with a (24-27) loss to the Giants and a (20-23) loss to the Bengals. The Bills 5 wins have come against the Chiefs (41-7), Raiders (38-35), Patriots (34-31), Eagles (31-24) and Redskins (23-0).

This Weeks NFL Odds currently have the Cowboys at around -240 (1.42) and the Bills +208 (3.08) which is very close to where they both opened. In betting results for both teams we see that the Cowboys are 3-4-1 against the closing point spread, 3-5 in over under results and had you wagered $100 on them each week on the money line you would be down -$251. Buffalo are 4-3-1 ATS, 6-2 in over under betting and show a profit of +382 on the moneyline. Interestingly Buffalos money line profit had you wagered $100 on them each week at their opening money line prices as opposed to the closing odds, would have seen an extra $126 profit, with their opening odds result to date being +$508.

What does think about this one? Well our numbers show value on the Buffalo Bills both on the moneyline odds and the point spread. We have taken the Bills at their current odds price and bet them earlier in the week at +6 against the spread, although we would have still taken them at the current +5.5 if needed. No play on the over under line for this game.