NFL Odds Week 6 Wagering

TheFootballLines's picture
Sat, 2011-10-15 02:40 -- TheFootballLines

Which NFL teams have been the most profitable to back week in week out through the first 5 weeks of this season? Well, based on wagering $100 at the average closing NFL odds on each team (each week), we see that as you would expect the two undefeated teams are profitable with Detroit Lions +$360 and the Green Bay Packers +$164.

The most profitable team thus far is the San Francisco 49ers +$537 followed closely by the Buffalo Bills +$535 then the Cincinnati Bengals +$281, Oakland Raiders +$277, Seattle Seahawks +$263 and NY Giants +$251. For full week by week details you can visit NFL Odds Results and compare results dating back to the 2007 season.

Two of the more profitable teams square off this Sunday with the undefeated Detroit Lions playing host to the 4-1 San Francisco 49ers. Leading Sportsbooks opened with the Lions at -230 (1.43) and the 49ers at +205 (3.05) with current odds of Lions -210 (1.48) 49ers +188 (2.88). The Lions have averaged 31.8 points per game on offense while conceding an average of 17.8. Their yards per play differential is (+.7) and their 5 wins have come against the Buccaneers 27-20, Chiefs 48-3, Vikings 26-23, Cowboys 34-30 and Bears 24-13. San Francisco has averaged 28.4 points per game and conceded only 15.6 with a yards per play differential of (-.3). The 49ers are 4-1 with wins over the Seahawks 33-17, Bengals 13-8, Eagles 24-23 and Buccaneers 48-3 while their only defeat was at the hands of the Cowboys in week 2 when they went down by 24-27.

In Latest NFL Point Spreads lines the Lions are at (-4) after opening at (-6) and the over under total sits at o/u 46. Thus far this season the Lions and 49ers both have 4-1 over under records with 4 of their 5 games going over the closing total.

The verdict - agrees that the Lions should go in as favorites but not as heavy as they are. We certainly saw value in the 49ers at their opening odds and still at their current price. Our numbers indicate value on San Francisco down to odds of about +165 (2.65).