NFL Week 9 San Diego Chargers v Kansas City Chiefs

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Wed, 2012-10-31 22:21 -- TheFootballLines
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How much has changed in 5 weeks? Well 5 weeks ago the San Diego Chargers visited the Kansas City Chiefs as -130 ($1.77) road favorites carrying a -2.5 point spread, the Chargers prevailed by 17 points (37-20). Fast forward to NFL week 9 and San Diego are hosting Kansas City with the current NFL Odds seeing the Chargers priced between -385 ($1.26) up to -303 ($1.33) while the Chiefs are trading between +260 ($3.60) up to +290 ($3.90). The point spread opened the week with San Diego -9 Kansas City +9, currently the line differs amongst the leading sportsbooks with spreads ranging from -/+7 up to -/+8. The over under total is sitting at O/U 41.5 which is down 2.5 points from the opener.

Heading into their last clash the Chargers were 2-1 with a points per game differential of +4 and the Chiefs were 1-2 (-10.33). This time around the Chargers are 3-4 (+1.43) while the Chiefs are 1-6 (-12.71) with neither team able to record a victory in their last 3 games.

Philip Rivers and Co. are coming off a (6-7) loss to the Browns which was preceded by losses to the Broncos (24-35) and Saints (24-31). San Diego is averaging 5 yards per play on offense while allowing 5.4 yards on defense for a yard’s per play differential of -.40. Wagering results for the Chargers sees them with a 3-4 (-$115) point spread record, 4-3 over under record and they are -$179 against the closing money line odds.

Sitting with a 1-6 record the Kansas City Chiefs are 1-2 on the road and 0-4 at home. They have a yards per play differential of -.90 having averaged 5.2 offensive yards and 6.1 on defense. The Chiefs average losing margin this season is 15 points with their losses being by 16, 18, 3, 28 and 10 points. In NFL Point Spread Results Kansas are 2-5 (-$310) while against the closing money line odds they are -$276 (for $100 bets each week) and they have a 5-2 over under record.

NFL Betting History San Diego Chargers v Kansas City Chiefs Week 9, 2012
Date Spread Odds Home Score V Score Away Odds Spread Total
09/30/07 -13 -714 (1.14) Chargers 16 V 30 Chiefs 644 (7.44) 13 38.5
12/02/07 6 220 (3.2) Chiefs 10 V 24 Chargers -240 (1.42) -6 37
11/09/08 -15 -850 (1.12) Chargers 20 V 19 Chiefs 700 (8) 15 47
12/14/08 6 235 (3.35) Chiefs 21 V 22 Chargers -255 (1.39) -6 41
10/25/09 6 212 (3.12) Chiefs 7 V 37 Chargers -238 (1.42) -6 44
11/29/09 -13 -700 (1.14) Chargers 43 V 14 Chiefs 570 (6.7) 13 44.5
09/13/10 4 -200 (1.5) Chiefs 21 V 14 Chargers 180 (2.8) -4 45.5
12/12/10 -10 -500 (1.2) Chargers 31 V 0 Chiefs 431 (5.31) 10 45.5
09/25/11 -14 -1088 (1.09) Chargers 20 V 17 Chiefs 804 (9.04) 14 44.5
10/31/11 3 143 (2.43) Chiefs 23 V 20 Chargers -158 (1.63) -3 44.5
09/30/12 2.5 118 (2.18) Chiefs 20 V 37 Chargers -130 (1.77) -2.5 43

History between San Diego and Kansas City sees the Chargers hold the advantage having gone 8-3 over their last 11 games. San Diego is 4-1 at home while the over all home v away record is 6-5. The starting favorite has got the win 9-2 and the winning team has covered 8-3. Over under results are 6-4-1 with an average game total of 42.36 points.

The Verdict - Our numbers here at TheFootballlines.com did not show quite enough value to warrant a wager based on the opening lines. However movement in the market has brought an opportunity into play and we have taken a position. You can find out who we are on below or via one of our NFL Picks packages, or view our results.

TheFootballLines.com's Pick: 
We have taken San Diego -7 against the point spread at -110 ($1.91). They show a play up to -8.5 however if you can get -7 all the better.
NFL Week 9 San Diego Chargers v Kansas City Chiefs | TheFootballLines.com

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