NFL Week 8 Tennessee Titans v Indianapolis Colts

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Fri, 2012-10-26 15:40 -- TheFootballLines
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The Tennessee Titans opened the week as -3 home favorites for their week 8 clash against the Indianapolis Colts. The Latest NFL Point Spreads see most bookmakers have moved the line a half point and are now running a spread of Titans -3.5 Colts +3.5. The over under total opened the week at O/U 47 and has held at that number while in the money line odds market Tennessee are currently trading between -190 ($1.53) up to -180 ($1.56) and Indianapolis are priced between +160 ($2.60) up to +165 ($2.65).

The early wager counts from a respected offshore sportsbook shows that 61% of point spread wagers are on the Colts to cover, 69% of money line wagers are on the Colts straight up and 68% of over under bets are on the Over.

The Titans had a one point win over Buffalo last week (35-34) taking them to a 3-4 for the season. Their other wins have been against Detroit (44-41) and Pittsburgh (26-23) while the losses have been against New England (13-34), San Diego (10-38), Houston (14-38) and Minnesota (7-31). Tennessee has averaged 21.29 points per game while giving up 34 for a negative point’s differential of -12.71. In NFL Point Spread Results Tennessee are 3-4 (-$115) against the closing spread, they show a profit of +$80 against the opening odds and +$177 against the closing and they have a 5-2 over under record.

Andrew Luck and the Indianapolis Colts are 3-3 having averaged 19.5 points per game on offense while conceding 26.33 on defense (-6.83). As with Tennessee it has been slightly more profitable backing the Colts on the closing money line odds as opposed to getting the early odds, they are showing a profit of +$85 against the opening odds and +$147 against the close. Indianapolis are 3-3 (-$15) against the spread bet and they are 3-3 in over under wagering. Thus far the Colts have beaten the Vikings (23-20), Packers (30-27) and Browns (17-13) and fallen short against the Jets (9-35), Jaguars (17-22) and Bears (21-41).

NFL Betting History Tennessee Titans v Indianapolis Colts Week 8, 2012
Date Spread Odds Home Score V Score Away Odds Spread Total
09/16/07 7 270 (3.7) Titans 20 V 22 Colts -300 (1.33) -7 45
12/30/07 5 199 (2.99) Colts 10 V 16 Titans -219 (1.46) -5 40.5
10/27/08 -4 -175 (1.57) Titans 31 V 21 Colts 165 (2.65) 4 40.5
12/28/08 3 129 (2.29) Colts 23 V 0 Titans -139 (1.72) -3 39.5
10/11/09 3 168 (2.68) Titans 9 V 31 Colts -186 (1.54) -3 44
12/06/09 -6 -250 (1.4) Colts 27 V 17 Titans 224 (3.24) 6 47
12/09/10 3 161 (2.61) Titans 28 V 30 Colts -179 (1.56) -3 44
01/02/11 -9 -434 (1.23) Colts 23 V 20 Titans 372 (4.72) 9 47.5
10/30/11 -9 -400 (1.25) Titans 27 V 10 Colts 346 (4.46) 9 44
12/18/11 6.5 252 (3.52) Colts 27 V 13 Titans -285 (1.35) -6.5 41.5

History between Tennessee and Indianapolis sees the Colts hold the advantage 7-3 over the last ten regular season games. The home team has won 6 to the road teams 4 and the starting favorite v underdog record is 8-2. The team who wins straight up has also managed to cover the point spread 7-3 and the over under record is 2-8 with an average game total of 40.5.

Our Take - here at TheFootballLines.com we appreciate that the Colts have thus far been significantly better at home 3-1 than on the road 0-2 and that Chris Johnson is supposed to be back to his old self. Where does that leave us? Well our figures see value here and we have plays against the moneyline and point spread. You can find out who we like below or visit our NFL Picks packages or NFL Picks Results page.

TheFootballLines.com's Pick: 
We have taken the Indianapolis Colts at +166 ($2.66) and against the spread at +3.5 $1.926. We would take the Colts down to around +130 and +3.5
NFL Week 8 Tennessee Titans v Indianapolis Colts | TheFootballLines.com

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