NFL Week 7 St. Louis Rams v Green Bay Packers

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Fri, 2012-10-19 22:00 -- TheFootballLines

The 3-3 St. Louis Rams play hosts to the 3-3 green Bay Packers in NFL week 7. The sportsbooks Live NFL Lines sees the average point spread of St. Louis +5 Green Bay -5, with a bit of line shopping you can find a few sportsbooks offering +/-6. If you like the chances of an upset the Rams are trading around +201 ($3.01) in the money line odds market while Green Bay are around -240 ($1.42). The over under total is at O/U 45.5 which out a full point from the opener.

The Rams are coming off a road loss to the Dolphins last week (14-17). Jeff Fisher will no doubt welcome getting his side back to the Edward Jones Dome where they are 3-0 this season, having defeated Washington (31-28), Seattle (19-13) and Arizona (17-3). St. Louis have averaged 18.33 points per game on offense and allowed an average of 18.5 on defense for a differential of -.17. The Rams are 2-3-1 (-$110) against point spread, 4-2 in over under results and they are showing a loss of -$22 against the opening odds and a profit of +$9 against the closing odds (for $100 bets each week).

Packers fans welcomed back the Aaron Rodgers they know and love last week; he completed 24 of 37 attempts for 338 yards and 6 touchdowns in their 42-24 win over the Texans. That took the Packers to 3-3, their other wins coming against the Bears (23-10) and Saints (28-27) while their losses have been against the 49ers (22-30), Seahawks (12-14) and Colts (27-30). The Packers are 2-4 (-$210) against the spread, 4-2 in over under results and -$201 in money line odds wagering.

Recent history between the St. Louis Rams and Green Bay Packers consists of three regular season games since 2007. The Packers have won all three with an average margin of 19.67 points. The over under record is 1-1-1 with the average game total being 42.33 points. The last encounter was in 2011 where the Packers won by 21 (24-3) as -800 ($1.13) favorites, covering the spread of -14.

The Verdict - Our numbers here at like the value on offer in both the money line odds and point spread markets. We have made plays in both. Our plays are available below or via one of our NFL Picks packages. You can check out our results here.'s Pick: 
We have taken St. Louis on the money line at +201 ($3.01) and even if those odds drop we still see plenty of value there. We have also taken them against the spread at +5 $1.943, if you can get +6 all the better. We would go down to +3.5.