NFL Week 7 Cincinnati Bengals v Pittsburgh Steelers

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Sat, 2012-10-20 11:55 -- TheFootballLines
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The AFC North showdown between the Cincinnati Bengals v Pittsburgh Steelers opened the week with the Benglas as +118 ($2.18) home underdogs. Cincinnati's odds have steadily been shortening throughout the week with their latest Live NFL Odds trading between -105 ($1.95) up to +105 ($2.05) while Pittsburgh are priced between -125 ($1.80) up to -108 ($1.92). The majority of sportsbooks are running a point spread of Bengals +1 Steelers -1 and the over under total is O/U 45 which is down a point from the opener.

Wager counts from a leading offshore book show that Cincinnati has attracted 59% of the spread wagers with the +1.5 line, 56% of wagers with the +1 line and 57% of the money line bets have been on the Steelers which overall roughly evens the action out. The over under total bet has seen 63% of bets placed on the over.

Cincinnati are 3-3 with wins over Cleveland (34-27), Washington (38-31), Jacksonville (27-10) while falling short against Baltimore (13-44), Miami (13-17) and Cleveland (24-34). The Bengals have averaged 5.9 yards per play on offense and allowed 5.4 on defense for a yards per play differential of +.50. Cincinnati are 2-3-1 (-$110) against the spread, +$9 against the closing odds and 4-2 in over under betting.

Ben Roethlisberger's Steelers are 2-3 having averaged 23.2 (17th) points per game and 360.6 (16th) yards per game comprised of 285.8 passing yards and 74.8 rushing yards. They have had wins against the Jets (27-10) and Eagles (16-14) and gone down to the Broncos (19-31), Raiders (31-34) and Titans (23-26). Pittsburgh’s betting results read like this; point spread 1-4 (-$305), money line odds 2-3 (-$201) and over under totals 3-2.

NFL Betting History Cincinnati Bengals v Pittsburgh Steelers Week 7, 2012
Date Spread Odds Home Score V Score Away Odds Spread Total
10/28/07 4 181 (2.81) Bengals 13 V 24 Steelers -196 (1.51) -4 48
12/02/07 -7 -275 (1.36) Steelers 24 V 10 Bengals 255 (3.55) 7 40
10/19/08 8 334 (4.34) Bengals 10 V 38 Steelers -364 (1.27) -8 36.5
11/20/08 -12 -735 (1.14) Steelers 27 V 10 Bengals 635 (7.35) 12 34.5
09/27/09 -4 157 (2.57) Bengals 23 V 20 Steelers -172 (1.58) 4 36.5
11/15/09 -7 -310 (1.32) Steelers 12 V 18 Bengals 270 (3.7) 7 41
11/08/10 5 210 (3.1) Bengals 21 V 27 Steelers -235 (1.43) -5 41.5
12/12/10 -8 -370 (1.27) Steelers 23 V 7 Bengals 322 (4.22) 8 39.5
11/13/11 3.5 171 (2.71) Bengals 17 V 24 Steelers -190 (1.53) -3.5 40.5
12/04/11 -7 -320 (1.31) Steelers 35 V 7 Bengals 281 (3.81) 7 43.5

Recent history has seen the Steelers getting the better of it with them holding an 8-2 advantage. The home v road record is 5-5 and the starting favorite has won 8 times to the underdogs 2. The winning team has covered the spread 9-0 and the over under record is 5-5 with an average game total of 39 points.

Our Take - Well history certainly favors the Steelers here, will it repeat and see Pittsburgh continue their recent dominance over Cincinnati? Our handicapping numbers here at TheFootballlines.com show sufficient value for a wager and we have taken a position on this game. Grab our pick below or check out our NFL Picks packages and our Results.

TheFootballLines.com's Pick: 
We have taken Cincinnati on the money line at +105 ($2.05) and would take them from +100 up.