The 4-1 Chicago Bears host the 2-3 Detroit Lions in Week 7 Monday Night Football. The current NFL Spread is Chicago -6.5 Detroit -6.5 which is out a half point from the opener of -/+6. In over under totals betting the line currently sits at O/U 46.5 which is down a full point from the opening number. The Bears are trading at around -263 ($1.38) in the money line odds market while if you like the Lions to cause the upset their odds range between ++215 ($3.15) up to +240 ($3.40).
Where are the bettors putting their money? Well a quick look at wager counts from a respected offshore sportsbook reveals that 55% of point spread wagers have been on Detroit, 58% of money line wagers are also on the Lions. The over under total bet has seen marginally more wagers placed on the Over with 52% of the bets expecting more than 46.5 points.
Chicago are 4-1 having averaged 29.8 points per game while allowing only 14.2 (1st), giving them a healthy points differential of +15.6. The Bears will enter this game fresh off the bye last week, their previous results including wins over JAC (41-3), DAL (34-18), STL (23-6) and IND (41-21) while their lone loss was against GB (10-23). Wagering results for Jay Cutler and Co. include a 4-1 (+$280) point spread record, +$176 profit against the opening money line odds and a 3-2 over under record.
Detroit are coming off a 26-23 win over the Eagles last week which broke a 3 game losing streak and took their season record to 2-3. Their other win was back in week one against St. Louis (27-23) while the losses have come against the 49ers (19-27), Titans (41-44) and Vikings (13-30). The Lions have a negative point’s differential of -2.2 having averaged 25.2 points on offense and conceding 27.4 on defense. Against the closing point spread the Lions are 1-4 (-$305), they are -$108 against the closing odds and they have gone 3-1-1 in over under betting.
|09/30/07||3||115 (2.15)||Lions||37||27||Bears||-125 (1.8)||-3||46|
|10/28/07||-6||-259 (1.39)||Bears||7||16||Lions||239 (3.39)||6||45.5|
|10/05/08||3||157 (2.57)||Lions||7||34||Bears||-167 (1.6)||-3||45.5|
|11/02/08||-13||-636 (1.16)||Bears||27||23||Lions||536 (6.36)||13||43.5|
|10/04/09||-10||-500 (1.2)||Bears||48||24||Lions||420 (5.2)||10||43|
|01/03/10||5||189 (2.89)||Lions||23||37||Bears||-215 (1.47)||-5||44|
|09/12/10||-7||-278 (1.36)||Bears||19||14||Lions||248 (3.48)||7||42.5|
|12/05/10||5||201 (3.01)||Lions||20||24||Bears||-225 (1.44)||-5||43|
|10/10/11||-6.5||-305 (1.33)||Lions||24||13||Bears||269 (3.69)||6.5||47|
|11/13/11||-2.5||-135 (1.74)||Bears||37||13||Lions||122 (2.22)||2.5||42.5|
History between Chicago and Detroit sees Chicago hold the advantage 7-3 over the last ten regular season meetings. The home team has won 6-4 and the favorite v underdog record is 8-2. The winning team has covered the spread 7-3 and the over under record is 6-4 with an average game total of 47.40 points.
The Verdict - TheFootballLines.com's handicapping shows a play in the point spread market here. We have taken a position against the spread and will be leaving the moneyline and totals markets alone. You can get our pick below or via our NFL Picks page.