NFL Week 7 Chicago Bears v Detroit Lions

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Mon, 2012-10-22 09:50 -- TheFootballLines
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The 4-1 Chicago Bears host the 2-3 Detroit Lions in Week 7 Monday Night Football. The current NFL Spread is Chicago -6.5 Detroit -6.5 which is out a half point from the opener of -/+6. In over under totals betting the line currently sits at O/U 46.5 which is down a full point from the opening number. The Bears are trading at around -263 ($1.38) in the money line odds market while if you like the Lions to cause the upset their odds range between ++215 ($3.15) up to +240 ($3.40).

Where are the bettors putting their money? Well a quick look at wager counts from a respected offshore sportsbook reveals that 55% of point spread wagers have been on Detroit, 58% of money line wagers are also on the Lions. The over under total bet has seen marginally more wagers placed on the Over with 52% of the bets expecting more than 46.5 points.

Chicago are 4-1 having averaged 29.8 points per game while allowing only 14.2 (1st), giving them a healthy points differential of +15.6. The Bears will enter this game fresh off the bye last week, their previous results including wins over JAC (41-3), DAL (34-18), STL (23-6) and IND (41-21) while their lone loss was against GB (10-23). Wagering results for Jay Cutler and Co. include a 4-1 (+$280) point spread record, +$176 profit against the opening money line odds and a 3-2 over under record.

Detroit are coming off a 26-23 win over the Eagles last week which broke a 3 game losing streak and took their season record to 2-3. Their other win was back in week one against St. Louis (27-23) while the losses have come against the 49ers (19-27), Titans (41-44) and Vikings (13-30). The Lions have a negative point’s differential of -2.2 having averaged 25.2 points on offense and conceding 27.4 on defense. Against the closing point spread the Lions are 1-4 (-$305), they are -$108 against the closing odds and they have gone 3-1-1 in over under betting.

NFL Betting History Chicago Bears v Detroit Lions Week 7, 2012
Date Spread Odds Home Score V Score Away Odds Spread Total
09/30/07 3 115 (2.15) Lions 37 V 27 Bears -125 (1.8) -3 46
10/28/07 -6 -259 (1.39) Bears 7 V 16 Lions 239 (3.39) 6 45.5
10/05/08 3 157 (2.57) Lions 7 V 34 Bears -167 (1.6) -3 45.5
11/02/08 -13 -636 (1.16) Bears 27 V 23 Lions 536 (6.36) 13 43.5
10/04/09 -10 -500 (1.2) Bears 48 V 24 Lions 420 (5.2) 10 43
01/03/10 5 189 (2.89) Lions 23 V 37 Bears -215 (1.47) -5 44
09/12/10 -7 -278 (1.36) Bears 19 V 14 Lions 248 (3.48) 7 42.5
12/05/10 5 201 (3.01) Lions 20 V 24 Bears -225 (1.44) -5 43
10/10/11 -6.5 -305 (1.33) Lions 24 V 13 Bears 269 (3.69) 6.5 47
11/13/11 -2.5 -135 (1.74) Bears 37 V 13 Lions 122 (2.22) 2.5 42.5

History between Chicago and Detroit sees Chicago hold the advantage 7-3 over the last ten regular season meetings. The home team has won 6-4 and the favorite v underdog record is 8-2. The winning team has covered the spread 7-3 and the over under record is 6-4 with an average game total of 47.40 points.

The Verdict - TheFootballLines.com's handicapping shows a play in the point spread market here. We have taken a position against the spread and will be leaving the moneyline and totals markets alone. You can get our pick below or via our NFL Picks page.

TheFootballLines.com's Pick: 
We have taken the Chicago Bears at home against the point spread at -6.5.
NFL Week 7 Chicago Bears v Detroit Lions | TheFootballLines.com

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