NFL Week 5 2012 Minnesota Vikings v Tennessee Titans

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Sat, 2012-10-06 09:15 -- TheFootballLines

The Minnesota Vikings look to maintain their winning percentage as they play host to the Tennessee Titans in week 5 action. The NFL Spread is currently trading at Vikings -5.5 Titans +5.5 with most sportsbooks, which is not showing any change from the opener. In moneyline odds pricing we see that Minnesota are trading between -245 ($1.41) up to -230 ($1.43) and Tennessee are priced between +200 ($3.00) up to +205 ($3.05). Sportsbooks opened the over under total at O/U44 and it is holding steady at that line.

An early indication of the flow of wagers from a leading offshore sportsbook shows that currently 52% of point spread wagers have been placed on the Vikings. Money line bets are running 53% on Tennessee compared to 47% on Minnesota and the over bet is attracting slightly more wagers with 52% of the bet count.

The rebuilt Minnesota Vikings are 3-1 having had wins against the Jaguars (26-23), 49ers (24-13) and Lions (20-13) and a loss to the Colts (20-23). They have averaged 22.50 points per game while conceding an average of 18 for a +4.5 points differential. In yards per play stats the Vikings have average 5 yards per play on offense and allowed 4.6 on defense for a differential of +.40. In NFL wagering results Minnesota are 2-2 (-$10) against the closing point spread and against the moneyline odds they are showing a profit of +$382 against the opening odds and +$375 against the close. In over under totals betting the Vikings are 1-3 having gone O, U, U, U.

Mike Munchak's Titans are 1-3 having suffered losses against the Patriots (13-34), Chargers (10-38) and Texans (14-38) while their lone win came against the Lions (44-41). The most troubling statistic for Tennessee thus far is their defense which has conceded more points than any other team in the league, 151 to be precise which averages 37.75 per game. The Titans have a yards per play differential of -.10 care of averaging 5.7 yards on offense and allowing 5.8 on defense. Looking at NFL Point Spread results the Titans record stands at 1-3 (-$205) while against the closing moneyline odds they are showing a loss of -$125 (for $100 bets each week) and 3 of their games have gone over the closing total and one has stayed under.

The last time they played was back in 2008 when Tennessee prevailed 30-17 as home favorites at odds of -152 ($1.66), they covered the point spread of -3 and the game total of 47 points went over the closing over under line of O/U35.

The Verdict- Our handicapping numbers here at show sufficient value in the money line odds and point spread market for action. We have taken positions in both markets for this game. If you would like to buy our picks and join us you can do so below. For more info on our $2.00 NFL picks visit NFL Picks's Pick: 
We have taken Minnesota at odds of $1.435 on the moneyline. We see value down to $1.40. In the point spread market we have also taken the Vikings at -5.5 which is readily available at the moment.