The Miami Dolphins play hosts to the New York Jets in NFL week 3 action. The Sportsbooks opened the boards for this AFC East clash with the Jets as -145 ($1.69) road favorites with the Dolphins opening at odds of +125 ($2.15). Currently New York are trading between -135 ($1.74) up to -133 ($1.75) on the moneyline while Miami's odds range between +115 ($2.15) up to +120 ($2.20). The Latest NFL Lines see the spread differing amongst the sportsbooks with lines ranging from Miami +1 New York -1 up to +/-2.5, while the over under total is currently O/U41 after starting the week at O/U40.
Having a quick look at the wager count from one of the major offshore sportsbooks we see that 65% of moneyline wagers have been placed on the Jets to get the win as road favorites and 69% of point spread wagers have been on them to cover. In the totals market roughly 66% of bets placed have been on the game total going over with just 38% thinking it will stay under.
Miami are coming off a 35-13 win over the Raiders as +113 ($2.13) underdogs, which took them to 1-1 for the season following their week 1 loss to the Texans 10-30 as +583 ($6.83) dogs. The Jets also find themselves with a 1-1 record having defeated the Bills in week 1 (48-20) and then suffering a (10-27) loss last week to the Steelers. Miami have a yards per play differential of -.10 having averaged 5.5 yards per play on offense and allowing 5.6 on defense while the Jets have averaged 5.3 on offense and conceded 6 on defense for a differential of -.70.
|09/23/07||-3||-168 (1.6)||Jets||31||28||Dolphins||158 (2.58)||3||36.5|
|12/02/07||-2||-135 (1.74)||Dolphins||13||40||Jets||125 (2.25)||2||37|
|09/07/08||3||140 (2.4)||Dolphins||14||20||Jets||-150 (1.67)||-3||37|
|12/28/08||-3||-142 (1.7)||Jets||17||24||Dolphins||132 (2.32)||3||43|
|10/12/09||3||139 (2.39)||Dolphins||31||27||Jets||-154 (1.65)||-3||36|
|11/01/09||-4||-191 (1.52)||Jets||25||30||Dolphins||173 (2.73)||4||40|
|09/26/10||-2||-131 (1.76)||Dolphins||23||31||Jets||119 (2.19)||2||35.5|
|12/12/10||-5||-220 (1.45)||Jets||6||10||Dolphins||197 (2.97)||5||37.5|
|10/17/11||-7||-368 (1.27)||Jets||24||6||Dolphins||320 (4.2)||7||41.5|
|01/01/12||-1.5||-120 (1.83)||Dolphins||19||17||Jets||109 (2.09)||1.5||38|
The last ten regular season games between these two teams has seen 5 wins apiece. The team who wins outright has also covered the NFL Spread 9-0-1 while the home v away and favorite v underdog records are 4-6. The over under results are 5-5 with the average game total being 38.2 points.
The Pick - Here at TheFootballLines.com we don't start wagering until week 5, so no pick here. That said, there has been plenty of talk about the jets offense or lack of offense and while it is early days we would be more concerned with the numbers that their defense has allowed over the first two weeks.