NFL Week 16 2011: Indianapolis Colts v Houston Texans

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Mon, 2011-12-19 21:45 -- TheFootballLines

NFL Week 16 and Thursday night football sees the Indianapolis Colts hosting the Houston Texans. The Colts finally got their first win last week with a (27-13) victory over the Titans, while the Texans recorded their 4th loss of the season going down to the Panthers (13-28). The Latest NFL Lines have the Colts as +5.5 home underdogs which is in a full point from the opening of +6.5. The over under line for this game opened at O/U 40.5 and is currently in a half point to O/U 40 with most sportsbooks. In the NFL Odds or money line market the Colts are +210 (3.10) and the Houston Texans are -235 (1.43).

With that first win the Indianapolis Colts straight up record goes to 1-13 for the season. They have been averaging 15.07 points per game and conceding an average of 28.21 for a point’s differential of (-13.14). In wagering results the Colts are 5-9 against the closing point spread having covered the spread in their last 3 games, over under results are 7-7 and they are -$1048 against the closing money line odds for $100 bets each week.

The Texans are 10-4 for the season and have clinched the AFC South and a playoff spot. Overall for the season Houston have averaged 24.5 points per game and allowed 16.86 for a differential of (+7.64). While they are Houston's overall points stats it is interesting to break them down and consider that for the 10 games that Matt Schaub was at the helm the Texans averaged 27.3 points per game while conceding 16.6 (+10.7). By comparison Houston's last 4 games with T.J. Yates as starting quarterback they have averaged 17.5 on offense and allowed 17.5 on defense, so the defense has been consistent, however scoring is down by around 10 points per game on average.

In NFL wagering results this season the Texans are 9-4-1 against the closing point spread, 6-8 in over under betting and show a profit of +$248 against the closing money line odds and +$323 against the opening odds.

The verdict -'s handicapping numbers agree with moneyline, point spread and over under lines that the sportsbooks have put up, therefore no plays for this game.