NFL Week 15 Atlanta Falcons v New York Giants

TheFootballLines's picture
Thu, 2012-12-13 12:50 -- TheFootballLines

The Atlanta Falcons host the New York Giants in NFL week 15 action. Taking a look at the Latest NFL Lines the Falcons are slight favorites with a point spread of Falcons -1 Giants +1 while the over under total currently sits at O/U 51 after opening the week at O/U 52. Some sportsbooks have been slow to release moneyline odds for this game however we are seeing Atlanta priced around -123 ($1.813) and New York trading around +111 ($2.11).

Where is the money going? In early wager counts from a leading offshore sportsbook we see that roughly 67% of moneyline wagers have been placed on the Giants while some 57% of bets placed in the totals market are on the Under.

Matt Ryan and the Falcon's suffered their second loss of the season last week going down (20-30) to the Panthers as -162 ($1.62) road favorites. Now sitting with a 11-2 overall record they have averaged 25.92 points per game while allowing 19.92 for a positive points differential of +6.00. At home Atlanta is 6-0 with a +5.17 differential. Understandably wagering results for the Falcons look favorable with a +$542 profit against the closing moneyline odds, 7-5-1 (+$165) point spread record and in over under betting they are 5-8.

The New York Giants are coming off a demolition job of the Saints last week (52-27). They sit at 8-5 for the season and sport a +7.92 points differential care of averaging 28.69 on offense and 20.77 on defense. On the road the Giants are 3-3 with a +6 differential. In wagering results the Giants games have tended to be lower scoring than expected as their 4-9 over under record suggests. Against the closing point spread they are 6-7 (-$130) and they are showing a +$90 profit against the opening and +$200 profit against the closing moneyline odds (for $100 bets each week).

Do we see value here? Our handicapping numbers here at do show some value on offer in this game and we have taken a moneyline odds position. You can find out below whether we think the Falcons will keep their unbeaten home streak alive or if Manning and Co. will be too strong!'s Pick: 
We have bet the Atlanta Falcons on the moneyline at -118 ($1.85). We like them down to $1.83.