NFL Week 15 Atlanta Falcons v New York Giants

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Thu, 2012-12-13 12:50 -- TheFootballLines
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The Atlanta Falcons host the New York Giants in NFL week 15 action. Taking a look at the Latest NFL Lines the Falcons are slight favorites with a point spread of Falcons -1 Giants +1 while the over under total currently sits at O/U 51 after opening the week at O/U 52. Some sportsbooks have been slow to release moneyline odds for this game however we are seeing Atlanta priced around -123 ($1.813) and New York trading around +111 ($2.11).

Where is the money going? In early wager counts from a leading offshore sportsbook we see that roughly 67% of moneyline wagers have been placed on the Giants while some 57% of bets placed in the totals market are on the Under.

Matt Ryan and the Falcon's suffered their second loss of the season last week going down (20-30) to the Panthers as -162 ($1.62) road favorites. Now sitting with a 11-2 overall record they have averaged 25.92 points per game while allowing 19.92 for a positive points differential of +6.00. At home Atlanta is 6-0 with a +5.17 differential. Understandably wagering results for the Falcons look favorable with a +$542 profit against the closing moneyline odds, 7-5-1 (+$165) point spread record and in over under betting they are 5-8.

The New York Giants are coming off a demolition job of the Saints last week (52-27). They sit at 8-5 for the season and sport a +7.92 points differential care of averaging 28.69 on offense and 20.77 on defense. On the road the Giants are 3-3 with a +6 differential. In wagering results the Giants games have tended to be lower scoring than expected as their 4-9 over under record suggests. Against the closing point spread they are 6-7 (-$130) and they are showing a +$90 profit against the opening and +$200 profit against the closing moneyline odds (for $100 bets each week).

Do we see value here? Our handicapping numbers here at TheFootballLines.com do show some value on offer in this game and we have taken a moneyline odds position. You can find out below whether we think the Falcons will keep their unbeaten home streak alive or if Manning and Co. will be too strong!

TheFootballLines.com's Pick: 
We have bet the Atlanta Falcons on the moneyline at -118 ($1.85). We like them down to $1.83.