The Atlanta Falcons look to spoil the New Orleans Saints playoff chances when they meet in Thursday Night Football. The Latest NFL Lines see the point spread holding at Falcons -3.5 Saints +3.5 which is where it opened the week. The over under line is at O/U 56, up a half point from the opener. In the moneyline odds department Atlanta are trading between -200 ($1.50) up to -185 ($1.54) while New Orleans are priced between +165 ($2.65) up to +171 ($2.71).
With no love lost between these two sides, playoff hopes on the line for New Orleans and the Falcons looking for revenge after their week 10 loss to the Saints, this game has all the ingredients and should be a cracker. Where is the money flowing in the betting markets? Well looking at wager counts from a leading offshore sportsbook we see that 59% of point spread wagers are on the Saints and they are also attracting around 62% of moneyline bets. In the over under market 61% of wagers placed are on the over.
Atlanta is 10-1 overall having averaged 26.73 points per game while conceding an average of 19.64 for a differential of +7.09. They are undefeated at home with a 5-0 record and a positive point’s differential of (+4.2). Recent results for the Falcons include wins against Tampa Bay (24-23), Arizona (23-19) and Dallas (19-13) and the loss against New Orleans (27-31). In NFL wagering results Atlanta is 6-4-1 (+$170) against the spread, 7-4 in over under betting and they are the most profitable team against the closing money line odds for $100 bets each week , showing a profit of +$587.
Drew Brees' Saints are coming off a heavy (21-31) home loss too the 49ers last week which took their record to 5-6 for the season. Other recent results include wins over the Raiders (38-17), Falcons (31-27) and Eagles (28-13). The Saints have an overall points per game differential of (+.36) having scored an average of 28 and conceded an average of 27.64. On the road they are 2-3 with a negative (-.20) differential. New Orleans wagering results see them 6-5 (+$70) against the point spread, 4-7 in over under wagering and -$235 against the closing odds.
|10/21/07||-8||-330 (1.3)||Saints||22||16||Falcons||300 (4)||42.5|
|12/10/07||4||183 (2.83)||Falcons||14||34||Saints||-201 (1.5)||-4||44|
|11/09/08||-2||-121 (1.83)||Falcons||34||20||Saints||111 (2.11)||2||51|
|12/07/08||-3||-156 (1.64)||Saints||29||25||Falcons||146 (2.46)||3||51.5|
|11/02/09||-11||-526 (1.19)||Saints||35||27||Falcons||450 (5.5)||11||55.5|
|12/13/09||10||370 (4.7)||Falcons||23||26||Saints||-430 (1.23)||-10||50.5|
|09/26/10||-3||-172 (1.58)||Saints||24||27||Falcons||155 (2.55)||3||49.5|
|12/27/10||-2||-129 (1.78)||Falcons||14||17||Saints||117 (2.17)||2||50|
|11/13/11||-1||-114 (1.88)||Falcons||23||26||Saints||103 (2.03)||1||49.5|
|12/26/11||-7||-310 (1.32)||Saints||45||16||Falcons||273 (3.73)||7||53|
|11/11/12||1||111 (2.11)||Saints||31||27||Falcons||-122 (1.82)||-1||54|
History favors the Saints who hold a 9-2 advantage over the last eleven regular season games. The starting favorite v underdog record is 7-4 and the winning team has covered the point spread 8-3. The average game total is 50.45 points with the over under record standing at 7-4.
Any Value? - Our handicapping numbers here at TheFootballLines.com do show sufficient value to warrant a play. We have wagered the point spread and we are keeping an eye on the moneyline. You can grab our pick below, our current results are available here.