NFL Week 12 Dallas Cowboys v Washington Redskins

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Wed, 2012-11-21 19:50 -- TheFootballLines
CowboysRedskins

The last three regular season meetings between the Dallas Cowboys and Washington Redskins were all victories to Dallas, but they were close and Washington covered the spread in all three. How have the sportsbooks priced this game up? Well the spread opened the week at Dallas -4.5 and currently sits between Cowboys -3 Redskins +3 and -/+3.5. The over under line is at O/U48 which is up two points from the opener and the NFL Odds see Dallas priced up to -175 ($1.57) while Washington are trading as high as +157 ($2.57).

Those lines of -/+3 and O/U48 equate to the sportsbooks approximating the Cowboys to score 25.5 points and the Redskins to score around 22.5 points. Thus far this season Dallas have averaged 21.1 points per game on offense while allowing an average of 22.4 on defense for a differential of -1.3. By comparison Washington have averaged 25.7 points while conceding an average of 25.4 for a positive differential of +.30.

The Cowboys managed to clinch what for most of the game seemed an unlikely victory against the Cleveland Browns last week (23-20). Other recent results for Dallas include a win over the Eagles (38-23) and losses against the Falcons (13-19) and Giants (24-29). In wagering results the Cowboys are 4-6 (-$220) against the point spread, 4-6 over under and -$101 against the opening money line odds.

Washington made easy work of the Eagles last week 31-6. That win takes them to 4-6 and the way the division sits they know a win against the Cowboys could keep them alive. Prior to the Eagles, Washington had the bye and losses to the Panthers (13-21), Steelers (12-27) and Giants (23-27). The Redskins are 5-5 (-$25) against the spread bet, +$97 against the opening odds and 5-5 in over under wagering.

While the last ten regular season meetings has seen the Cowboys hold a commanding 7-3 record the point results have gone the Redskins way 8-2. The favorite v underdog record is 9-1 and the home v away record is 6-4. Over under results are 4-6 and the average game total is 35.6 points.

Our View - Our handicapping numbers do see value here! Here at TheFootballLines.com we have bet the money line and point spread. You can access our picks below and check out our current results here.

TheFootballLines.com's Pick: 
We have taken the Redskins on the moneyline at +155 ($2.55), we see value above +140. We have also taken Washington +3.5 at $1.87