The point spread opened at Buffalo Bills -1 Miami Dolphins +1 however they are moving with the Latest NFL Lines trading between -/+1 up to -/+3, the Bills -2.5 Dolphins +2.5 is the average with the other spreads having their odds adjusted. The money line odds are currently trading with Buffalo between -140 ($1.71) up to -127 ($1.79) and Miami are priced between +110 ($2.10) up to +120 ($2.20). In the over under totals market the line is at O/U 45 which is down a full point from the opener.
Looking at both teams differential's coming into this game we see that the Bills have averaged 23.44 points per game while allowing 31.67 for a differential of -8.23 compared with the Dolphins who have averaged 19.22 on offense and 20.67 on defense for -1.45. In yards per play stats Buffalo have averaged 5.8 yards per play on offense and 6.2 on defense for a yards per play differential of -.40 while Miami have a differential of -.20 by way of conceding 5.3 yards on defense and gaining an average of 5.1 on offense.
The Bills are 3-6 overall and carry a 1-2 home record. Their recent results include a loss to the Patriots last week (31-37), a loss to the Texans (9-21) and a loss to the Titans (34-35). In NFL Money Line Odds Results the Bills are showing a loss of -$266 against the opening odds and -$258 against the close. Against the closing point spread Buffalo have a 4-5 (-$120) record and they are 6-3 in over under results.
The Miami Dolphins will look to bounce back after their (3-37) home loss to the Titans last week, in particular Ryan Tannehill who threw 3 interceptions. Other recent results for Miami include a loss against the Colts (20-23) and wins over the Jets (30-9), Rams (17-14) and Bengals (17-13). The Dolphins are 2-3 on the road and 4-5 overall, they have a 4-5 (-$120) point spread record, 4-5 over under record and they are showing a loss of -$35 against the opening money line odds (for $100 bets each week).
|11/11/07||3||119 (2.19)||Dolphins||10||13||Bills||-129 (1.78)||-3||41|
|12/09/07||-7||-280 (1.36)||Bills||38||17||Dolphins||260 (3.6)||7||34|
|10/26/08||-1||-110 (1.91)||Dolphins||25||16||Bills||100 (2)||1||41.5|
|12/07/08||-2||-120 (1.83)||Bills||3||16||Dolphins||110 (2.1)||2||43|
|10/04/09||-2||-121 (1.83)||Dolphins||38||10||Bills||111 (2.11)||2||37.5|
|11/29/09||4||172 (2.72)||Bills||31||14||Dolphins||-190 (1.53)||-4||38|
|09/12/10||3||140 (2.4)||Bills||10||15||Dolphins||-155 (1.65)||-3||37|
|12/19/10||-6||-235 (1.43)||Dolphins||14||17||Bills||210 (3.1)||6||40|
|11/20/11||-3||-156 (1.64)||Dolphins||35||8||Bills||141 (2.41)||3||44|
|12/18/11||1||-103 (1.97)||Bills||23||30||Dolphins||-107 (1.93)||-1||42.5|
Recent history between Buffalo and Miami sees Miami hold the advantage 6-4. Over the last ten regular seasons meeting between these two the home v away record is 5-5 and the favorite v underdog record is 7-3. The team who has won outright has also covered the closing spread 9-0-1 and the over under results are 4-6 with an average game total of 38.30 points. The last time they met Miami prevailed (30-23) as -107 (1.93) road favorites, covering the spread of -1 by 6 points.
Any value? - Here at TheFootballLines.com our handicapping numbers indicate that there is. We have taken a money line position and possibly will add a spread position. You can grab our pick below or via one of our NFL picks Packages. Our results are available here