The New England Patriots got the job done by 24 points in their week 4 clash with Buffalo Bills, how will the NFL week 10 rematch play out? The current money line odds suggest the Patriots have about an 85% chance of taking the sweep, with them trading at around -556 ($1.18) while Buffalo are priced between +435 ($5.35) up to +461 ($5.61). The NFL Point Spread opened at -/+ 11.5 and has come in a half point to currently sit at New England -11 Buffalo +11. The over under total is sitting at O/U 52 which is out a half point from the opener.
New England is 5-3 having averaged 32.75 points per game while conceding an average of 21.25 for a differential of +11.5. Tom Brady and Co. are coming off the bye last week having defeated the Rams (45-7) in London and the Jets (29-26) at home in weeks 7 and 8. Wagering results for New England include a 5-3 (+$175) point spread record, 6-2 over under record and they are showing a loss of -$130 against the opening money line odds.
In ESPN's Latest NFL Power Rankings the Buffalo Bills sit at number 28. The Bills are 3-5 for the season having a point’s differential of -8.5. Recent results include a loss to the Texans last week (9-21), a bye in week 8, a one point loss to the Titans in week 7 (34-35) and a (19-16) road win over the Cardinals in week 6. Buffalo are 3-5 (-$215) against the point spread, -$166 against the odds and they have gone 5-3 in over under wagering.
| Date | Spread | Odds | Home | Score | V | Score | Away | Odds | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/23/07 | -17 | -1600 (1.06) | Patriots | 38 |  |
7 | Bills | 1200 (13) | 17 | 41 |
| 11/18/07 | 16 | 800 (9) | Bills | 10 | |
56 | Patriots | -1100 (1.09) | -16 | 46 |
| 11/09/08 | -4 | -177 (1.56) | Patriots | 20 | |
10 | Bills | 167 (2.67) | 4 | 41 |
| 12/28/08 | 6 | 220 (3.2) | Bills | 0 | |
13 | Patriots | -240 (1.42) | -6 | 35 |
| 09/14/09 | -13 | -880 (1.11) | Patriots | 25 | |
24 | Bills | 700 (8) | 13 | 47.5 |
| 12/20/09 | 7 | 280 (3.8) | Bills | 10 | |
17 | Patriots | -320 (1.31) | -7 | 41.5 |
| 09/26/10 | -15 | -890 (1.11) | Patriots | 38 | |
30 | Bills | 697 (7.97) | 15 | 42.5 |
| 12/26/10 | 7 | 264 (3.64) | Bills | 3 | |
34 | Patriots | -303 (1.33) | -7 | 46 |
| 09/25/11 | 7 | 273 (3.73) | Bills | 34 | |
31 | Patriots | -310 (1.32) | -7 | 54 |
| 01/01/12 | -10 | -568 (1.18) | Patriots | 49 | |
21 | Bills | 474 (5.74) | 10 | 49.5 |
| 09/30/12 | 3.5 | 175 (2.75) | Bills | 28 | |
52 | Patriots | -195 (1.51) | -3.5 | 48 |
Regular season history between New England and Buffalo has seen the Patriots win 10 of the last 11 games played. The home v road record is 6-5 and the starting favorite has a 10-1 record. The winning team has covered the spread 8-2-1 and the over under results are 7-4 with an average game total of 50 points. The last 5 games have a 4-1 over under record with game totals of 80, 70, 65, 37 and 68.
The Pick - TheFootballLines.com's handicapping numbers show a play against the point spread. We have made a play at the current line, you can grab our pick below or via one of our NFL Picks Packages and our results are available here NFL Pick Results.