NFL Conference Playoffs 2012: San Francisco 49ers v New York Giants

TheFootballLines's picture
Wed, 2012-01-18 04:05 -- TheFootballLines

The NFL conference playoff game between the San Francisco 49ers and New York Giants at Candlestick Park will see the victor claim the NFC Championship and progress to the Super Bowl. Latest NFL Lines for this game see the 49ers as -2.5 point spread favorites and the over under total is at O/U 42 which is down two points from the opening. The NFL Odds or moneyline odds currently have San Francisco at -133 (1.75) and the Giants +120 (2.2).

Last week the 49ers overcame the Saints (36-32) in an exciting clash that came down to the final seconds. San Francisco's defense was impressive in the 1st quarter, paving the way for the 49ers to take a 14-0 lead. Alex Smith and his offense were kept pretty quite in the 2nd and 3rd quarters but were able to get the job done when it counted in the 4th. With that win the 49ers covered the (+3.5) point spread, cashed on the moneyline at +171 (2.72) opening and around +149 (2.49) closing. The combined 68 points were more than enough to see the total go over the closing O/U 46.5.

Eli Manning and the New York Giants were to good for the Green Bay Packers last week running out (37-20) winners. We did question Green Bay's momentum and how much difference the week off and the fact that Aaron Rogers had not played in three weeks would make. Full credit to the Giants defense in containing the leading scorers in the league, however the uncharacteristic number of drop balls, fumbles and the at times out of sync offense by the Packers, most likely was not all due the Giants defense. That win saw the Giants cover the spread (+8.5), cash on the moneyline at around +339 (4.39) and the total cash for the over bet.

The San Francisco 49ers

The 49ers who finished 1st in the NFC West with a 13-3 record averaged 23.75 points per game and conceded only 14.31 for a points differential of (+9.44). At home they went 7-1 with a differential of (+16.75), their only home loss came in week 2 against the Cowboys (24-27). In NFL wagering during the regular season the 49ers were the most profitable team against the closing money line odds with a profit of +$835 and +$820 against the opening (for $100 bets each week). They also finished with a very handy point spread record of 12-3-1 and in over under betting they went 7-9.

The New York Giants

With a 9-7 record the New York Giants clinched 1st place in the NFC East. They had an overall points differential of (-.37) having averaged 24.63 points per game and allowing 25 ppg. On the road the Giants have a (-.88) differential going 5-3 with wins over PHI (29-16), ARI (31-27), NE (24-20), DAL (37-34) and NYJ (29-14). While their road losses were against WAS (14-28), SF (20-27) and NO (24-49). In wagering results for the regular season the Giants went 8-7-1 ATS, 9-7 in over under betting and +$598 against the opening moneyline odds and +$651 against the closing.

Their Last Meeting

These two teams last played in week 10 of this years regular season at Candlestick Park. On that occasion the 49ers closed as -4 point spread favorites after opening at -3.5. The over under total opened and closed at O/U 42.5 and the money line odds closed with the 49ers at -205 (1.49) and the Giants +184 (2.84). The 49ers prevailed (27-20) in a game where San Francisco's Justin Smith with 34 seconds on the clock batted down an Eli Manning pass on fourth and 2 from the 10 yard line to help secure the win for his team.

The verdict - Here at our numbers show value on the 49ers and we have bet them on the money line at -128 (1.781) and against the point spread -2.5. Our over under number is in line with the sportsbooks, so no play there.